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11 September 2015
PR-Inside.com
PR-Inside.com: 2015-09-03. Multinational pharmaceutical companies will experience greater challenges over the coming year as Russia's grim economic outlook will have a significant impact on consumer demand for pharmaceuticals . Furthermore, government measures, such as the introduction of further price controls, will hurt revenues of innovative and generic drugmakers.
Russia will increasingly become a second-tier emerging market (EM) compared to its EM peers, such as China, due to the poor business and operating environment and the worsening growth prospects for multinationals.
Headline Expenditure Projections
* Pharmaceuticals: RUB885.67bn (USD22.96bn) in 2014 to RUB1.02trn (USD17.53bn) in 2015; +14.8% in local currency terms and -23.7% in US dollar terms. Forecast revised upwards from Q315 in local currency and US dollar terms.
* Healthcare: RUB4.85trn (USD125.61bn) in 2014 to RUB5.29trn (USD91.22bn) in 2015; +9.2% in local currency terms and -27.4% in US dollar terms. Forecast revised upwards from Q315 in local currency and US dollar terms.
Risk/Reward Index
Russia has a Risk/Reward Index (RRI) score of 54.3 out of 100, making it the sixth most attractive pharmaceutical market in Emerging Europe. Russia's RRI score has improved slightly from Q215 largely due to our revised currency forecasts than due to an improvement in the business environment or growth outlook. Although Russia has the largest pharmaceutical market in the Central and Eastern Europe region on an absolute basis, its Rewards score is held back by our lowered growth expectations over the coming years and its relatively low per capita spending compared to regional peers. Furthermore, it has received a lower Risk score, highlighting the challenging operating environment in the country.
Key Trends And Developments 2015
* In May, Russia's Prime Minister, Dmitry Medvedev signed a decree approving regional authorities to control the prices of 608 medicines included in the country's Vital and Essential...
The Russia Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report features BMI Research's forecasts for drugs and healthcare expenditure and imports and exports, focusing on the growth outlook for the prescription, OTC, patented drugs and generics market segments.
BMI's Russia Pharmaceuticals & Healthcare Report provides industry professionals, strategists, company executives, investors, analysts and sales/marketing heads with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Russia pharmaceutical and healthcare industry.
Key Benefits
* Benchmark BMI's pharmaceutical and healthcare market forecasts for Russia, to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Russian pharmaceutical and healthcare market.
* Target business opportunities and risks in the Russian pharmaceutical and healthcare sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Russia.
* Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors using our company profiles (including SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity) and competitive landscape tables.
Coverage
BMI Industry ViewAn at-a-glance perspective on the latest regulatory developments, key forecast indicators and major corporate developments, covering the prescription, OTC and generics markets. The pharmaceuticals and healthcare SWOT outlines strategic factors that affect the basic assumptions underpinning BMIs forecast analysis, and taken together with BMIs political, economic and business environment SWOTs, it gives a complete overview of market climate.
BMI Industry Forecast ScenarioIndustry forecasts to end-2019 for all key indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:
* Healthcare: Total healthcare expenditure (USDbn), healthcare expenditure (% of GDP), healthcare expenditure per capita (USD), hospital beds, doctors, and birth & mortality rates (all per 000 population).
* Pharmaceutical Market: Drug expenditure in USDbn, % of GDP and per capita (USD).
* Patented Drug Market: Prescription drug sales (USDbn & % of total sales).
* Generic Drug Market: Generic product sales (USDbn), generic sales (% of total sales).
* OTC Drug Market: OTC sales (USDbn & % of total sales).
* Macroeconomic Forecasts: Nominal and real GDP, % real GDP growth, % private consumption growth, % industrial output growth, % consumer price index, % GDP price deflator, exports, imports, trade balance, current account balance, foreign direct investment, exchange rate against USD, government expenditure and external debt.
BMIs Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Risk Reward Index
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports.
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The RMI group has completed sertain projects
The RMI Group has exited from the capital of portfolio companies:
Marinus Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
Syndax Pharmaceuticals, Inc.,
Atea Pharmaceuticals, Inc.